An Opta supercomputer analysis has revealed that Liverpool’s chances of winning the Premier League title have significantly decreased following their 3-1 loss at Arsenal on Sunday.
Before the match, Liverpool had been on a four-game winning streak, including a notable 4-1 victory against Chelsea. This had given them a five-point lead at the top of the table, with Opta’s supercomputer estimating their chances of winning the league at 42.1%.
However, the defeat at the Emirates Stadium, which was criticized by Roy Keane for Liverpool’s defensive performance, has reduced their title hopes to 26.1%, a drop of 16 percentage points.
This loss was only Liverpool’s second in the league this season, with their previous defeat also occurring in north London against Tottenham in September due to a controversial offside decision.
Jurgen Klopp had acknowledged the need for near-perfection from his team to secure their second Premier League title in four years. Arsenal’s victory has brought them within two points of Liverpool, with their own title chances increasing from 3.3% to 7.4%.
Manchester City, the defending champions, remain the favorites to win the league for the fourth consecutive year. Their recent win against Brentford has propelled them to second place in the table, just two points behind Liverpool with a game in hand.
City’s chances of retaining the title have risen from 54.4% to 66.2% after Liverpool’s setback. Their strong form, winning their last five league games, indicates that they are hitting top form at a crucial stage of the season.
Aston Villa and Tottenham, despite being five and seven points behind Liverpool, respectively, are considered unlikely to mount a serious title challenge. Opta’s supercomputer gives Villa a 0.2% chance and Tottenham a mere 0.1% chance of finishing first in the league.